![]() ![]() ![]() By minimizing inefficiencies in AI regulation, we can approach this outcome. In the most utopian outcome, we would be able to fully harness the power of AI and subsequent technological improvements with little to no costs of adoption. ![]() Our course of action in the present will determine if our reality will diverge into utopia or into doomsday. A key idea for readers to carry through the piece is that the more revolutionary the technology, the more can be lost by regulatory mis-calibration in either direction (under or over regulated). In general, we are optimistic that humanity can coordinate to mitigate this risk as we have in the past, but we are not so naive to think that humanity couldn’t mismanage the situation. We do our best to draw parallels to AGI development as of April 2023, and make predictions and recommendations based on our analysis of the past. We think the timeline of risk falls into 4 phases, with a “safety track” running in parallel. We survey possible public and governmental responses to AGI risk and recommendations for regulators. By examining two global crises and world government responses, namely the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty and the Montreal Protocol, we create a general model of risk response and attempt to develop a general model of risk-mitigation policy. ![]() The development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) presents both large opportunities and large risks. ![]()
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